South China Sea NewsWire

The monthly roundup of what matters

Analysis

Vietnam quiet, firm and resilient in the South China Sea | Asia Times

SCSNW Editor-in-Chief James Borton reveals the steps Vietnam has quietly taken to strengthen its claims in the South China Sea, such as an aggressive campaign to reclaim land, bolster military fortifications and surveillance systems, and deepen partnerships with other states such as the United States, Japan, and India to counterbalance China. Borton further highlights that Hanoi, while not seeking conflict with its larger neighbor, will also not be a passive observer regarding its own territorial claims and interests in the South China Sea.

Analysis

Prabowo’s China visit: Implications for the South China Sea | ThinkChina

Author Ian Storey considers the implications of the recent statement by the Government of Indonesia to pursue joint development with China in areas of the South China Sea where the two countries have overlapping claims, which potentially overturns official Indonesian policy that Beijing and Jakarta do not contest territory.

Analysis

Has Indonesia Joined the South China Sea Fray? | International Policy Digest

SCSNW Research Associate Caleb Mills considers recent remarks by new Indonesian president Prabowo Subianto regarding territorial claims in the South China Sea and analyzes the broader strategic implications should Indonesia become more involved in the region’s disputes and security.

Special Report

Understanding and Countering China’s Maritime Gray Zone Operations | RAND

RAND scrutinizes China’s gray zone operations in the South China Sea and its effectiveness in allowing China to exert control over the region while avoiding a conventional military response from the United States. The RAND report further considers Chinese perspectives in why and how to carry out this campaign and steps that the United States should take to develop effective countermeasures.

Analysis

Manila and Beijing Clarify Select South China Sea Claims | CSIS

Gregory Poling and Harrison Pretat of CSIS consider two new pieces of legislation passed into law by the Philippines – the Philippine Maritime Zones Act and the Philippine Archipelagic Sea Lanes Act – and their impact. The authors also consider China’s publication of baseline claims in response, their significance, and the reaction of the international community.

Analysis

Has Indonesia fallen into China’s nine-dash line trap? | The Interpreter

Author Aristyo Rizka Darmawan considers a recent joint statement issued by the Chinese and Indonesian governments that agrees to joint development of South China Sea territory that Beijing and Jakara both claim. This statement, Darmawan argues, represents the first implicit recognition of China’s nine-dash line in the South China Sea by a member of ASEAN, which could have negative impacts for the wider region.

Commentary

Australia-Japan-United States Trilateral Defense Ministers’ Meeting November 2024 Joint Statement | U.S. Department of Defense

Australian Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defence Richard Marles, Japanese Minister of Defense Nakatani Gen, and United States Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin III convened the fourteenth Trilateral Defense Ministers’ Meeting (TDMM) on 17 November 2024 in Darwin, Australia. This is their joint statement.

Analysis

South China Sea: new Philippine laws that sparked Beijing’s fury to ‘stress’ foreign ships | South China Morning Post

In a move that has sent ripples through the South China Sea, the Philippines has enacted two new laws aimed at clarifying maritime routes. Officials insist these measures are not about expanding territory, but observers warn that foreign vessels may soon face “stresses” as they adapt to Manila’s newly defined sea lanes.

Analysis

Disinformation, fake news ‘most pressing challenge’ as Philippines ramps up cyber defences | South China Morning Post

Disinformation and fake news are the Philippines’ “most pressing challenge” now in fortifying its claim in the South China Sea, military and coastguard officials say, while touting gains achieved through their assertive transparency initiatives to counter foreign narratives.

Commentary

Remarks at the Manila Dialogue on the South China Sea | U.S. Ambassador MaryKay Carlson

As part of the Manila Dialogue on the South China Sea, U.S. Ambassador to the Philippines MaryKay Carlson delivered opening remarks on the South China Sea and its issues.

Analysis

Philippines-US ties to stay firm regardless of election due to common interests: analysts | South China Morning Post

As vote counting commences in the United States election with Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump appearing to be leading his Democratic rival Kamala Harris, the tight race has kept the Philippines on edge. Observers say while the election outcome is not expected to derail relations between Washington and its long-time ally, the Philippines should prepare for how it can work with the next US administration.

Analysis

Trick or treat? China comes a-knocking at Indonesia’s front door | Australian Strategic Policy Institute

China is testing Prabowo Subianto’s new administration, with three successive incursions by China Coast Guard vessels into Indonesia’s exclusive maritime jurisdiction—the first occurring on the new president’s inaugural day in office. Jakarta urgently needs to recalibrate its South China Sea diplomacy and to revisit its basic assumptions about China. China’s move south should also be a wake-up call to Canberra that its pursuit of supposed bilateral ‘stabilization’ with Beijing is irrelevant to China’s strategic intentions.

Analysis

Possible Solutions for Overlapping Maritime Claims | Vietnam.Vn

Professor Clive Schofield argues that in recent decades, maritime jurisdictional claims have expanded significantly. These expansive claims are constrained by the framework of maritime jurisdictions set out in the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). However, due to the proximity of coastal states, the number of overlapping maritime claims has increased rapidly, many of which remain unresolved.

Analysis

What does China really want in the SCS? | Korea Institute for Maritime Strategy

SCSNW Senior Researcher Benjamin Blandin explains China’s lack of historical legitimacy in SCS claims and motives behind its actions. Beyond resource interests and regional influence, China’s move in SCS aims to rally population and divert attention from domestic issues.

Special Report

Handling Our Cargo: How the People’s Republic of China Invests Strategically in the U.S. Maritime Industry | U.S. House of Representatives

The House Committee on Homeland Security and the Select Committee on the Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party have released a report analyzing the influence of Chinese companies and operations in the U.S. maritime industry and ports throughout the United States. The report also provides an analysis of other ship to shore crane makers and offers suggestions for the United States to mitigate these strategic risks.

Commentary

South China Sea: The “transparency initiative” success is plain to see | The Interpreter

Richard Heydarian takes a look at the “transparency initiative” of the Philippines and counters arguments that it has failed to deter China in the South China Sea. He instead argues that the “transparency initiative” has strengthened national resolve in opposing concessions and reinforced military ties and alliances with Japan and the United States.

Commentary

China could tow Philippine ship from disputed Sabina Shoal, but is it worth the backlash? | South China Morning Post

Author Laura Zhou considers the prospects of China towing a Philippines Coast Guard ship away from the disputed South China Sea hotspot and the risks that such an approach has in drawing in the United States.

Analysis

Rejecting Xi’s bullying at the Second Thomas Shoal | Pacific Forum

Professor Michael Tkacik examines the extent and shortcomings of the July 2024 provisional agreement established by China and the Philippines and how China’s subsequent interpretation is meant to weaken Philippine sovereignty over the Second Thomas Shoal by claiming authority it has no right to. Professor Tkacik then considers potential avenues the Philippines and the United States can push back against China’s unlawful interpretation.

Analysis

The implications of Philippines-Vietnam security ties for Southeast Asian geopolitics | Observer Research Foundation

Author Don Mclain Gill explores ongoing efforts by Vietnam and the Philippines to strengthen their bilateral security ties, especially within the context of South China Sea territorial disputes. He also discusses how these confidence-building measures and increased ties might impact disputes between the two countries and China more broadly.

Analysis

Mobilize Land Power to Contain China’s Maritime Ambitions | U.S. Naval Institute

General Charles Flynn and Lieutenant Colonel Timothy Devine explore lessons the U.S. Army has learned from its past counter-insurgency efforts and by working with regional partners that could be useful in countering China’s regional ambitions in the Indo-Pacific, especially against Chinese gray-zone tactics.

Commentary

Vietnam’s anti-IUU fishing efforts: Insights from Global Efforts | Vietnam+

James Borton, Editor-in-Chief at the South China Sea NewsWire highlighted Vietnam’s commitment to strengthening its legal framework and improving traceability in seafood trade to combat IUU fishing. He noted that while significant steps have been taken, further improvements are needed in enforcing regulations and updating fishing vessel databases. Borton suggested that Vietnam could lead ASEAN efforts in supporting regional cooperation, workshops, and strategic plans on the fisheries sector. He also underscored the collective efforts in anti-IUU fishing across all fishing sectors.

Analysis

Deterrence and Dialogue to Avert a Maritime Crisis | China-US Focus

South China Sea NewsWire Advisory Board member Lucio Blanco Pitlo III takes a look at the National Security Policy 2023-2028 issued by the Government of the Philippines and how Manila aims to balance deterrence and dialogue to assert its sovereignty and security while also avoiding a maritime conflict.

Commentary

Could the United States and China really go to war? Who would win? | Brookings

Michael E. O’Hanlon of Brookings examines the concept of war between the United States and China, the magnitude that such a conflict might reach, and potential scenarios that might inform how the war starts and ends. O’Hanlon also considers the challenges for China and the United States in each scenario and how each party could help avoid war in the first place.

Analysis

China pushes to preserve deep-sea interests with national security legislation | South China Morning Post

China first introduced legislation in 2016 to regulate deep-sea resource exploration, laying the foundation for its survey and research initiatives in what could be viewed as new power growth and technological advancement. In their latest national security legislation, China currently sees the South China Sea and the Pacific as strategic locations to demonstrate its newest technology for planned deep-sea bed mining.

Analysis

High hurdles for achieving squad goals in the South China Sea | East Asia Forum

Author Prisie Patnayak questions the utility of the Squad, the new grouping of the United States, Australia, Japan, and the Philippines, in effectively deterring Chinese aggression in the South China Sea. Although the Squad has greater deterrence potential than the existing Quad, ongoing challenges in ASEAN and member commitments ensure that the Squad’s future remains cloudy.

Commentary

Beijing can Take the South China Sea Without Firing a Shot | The New York Times

Author Oriana Skylar Mastro takes a look at the current state of militarization in the South China Sea and opines that China has used brinksmanship and non-military assets to build a significant military force in the region. Mastro argues that the United States confront China and that a harder line by the United States in support of the Philippines will be sufficient to reduce the overall level of tension. If the United States fails to do this, Chinese strength and regional belligerence will grow so powerful that Beijing no longer fears war.

Commentary

Why South China Sea is the flashpoint that could spark war | Australian Financial Review

Author Bec Strating considers how tensions in the South China Sea might be more likely to cause an international conflict compared to a hypothetical Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

Commentary

US may not set the rules but can still shape the future of deep-sea mining | South China Morning Post

SCSNW Editor-in-Chief James Borton takes another look at deep-sea mining, the benefits and challenges of the industry, and where the United States currently stands with regards to permitting and leading in this field. Borton then considers how the U.S. can further develop this sector even though it is not a party to the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea and the International Seabed Authority.

Analysis

The South China Sea’s Forgotten Front: Mitigating Sinophobia for Philippine Stability and Security | CSIS

Author Tappy Lung at CSIS confronts the issue of Sinophobia in the Philippines and how this social issue can undermine both the desire of the Philippines to defend its sovereignty and isolate territorial disputes from its broader relations with China. Lung then goes on to discuss potential steps the Philippines can take to combat Sinophobia moving forward.

Commentary

The South China Sea Dog That Hasn’t Barked…Yet | War on the Rocks

Authors Zack Cooper and Gregory Poling discuss Vietnam’s recent expansion of several features in the South China Sea. The authors then consider the opposite case of the Philippines and the reasons why Vietnam may have escaped China’s wrath despite Hanoi’s expansion in the South China Sea, including Vietnam’s higher escalation threshold, Hanoi’s independence between China and the United States, and the regime similarities between China and Vietnam.

Analysis

China is testing the limits of a critical U.S.-Philippines defense pact — will Washington respond? | CNBC

China has stepped up its aggression against the Philippines in the contested waters of the South China Sea, calling into question the strength of American deterrence, according to policy analysts.

Analysis

Hanoi in High Gear: Vietnam’s Spratly Expansion Accelerates | Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative

This report by the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative analyzes the significant expansion of features in the South China Sea by the Vietnamese government in 2024. According to AMTI, Vietnam has created 692 new acres of land across a total of 10 features and expanded its construction efforts at several bases.

Analysis

China’s South Sea Aggression Is Backfiring | Foreign Policy

This article considers the methods China has used to confront the Philippines and other state actors in the South China Sea and how China’s repeated efforts to deny access may end up being counterproductive. On the other hand, author Keith Johnson considers whether Indonesia, Malaysia, and Vietnam are pressured to the same extent as the Philippines and how all four nations are increasing activities and cooperation in the South China Sea, potentially causing significant blowback to China’s regional aims.

Analysis

Philippines faces risk of Beijing’s economic coercion amid South China Sea row: analysts | South China Morning Post

This article considers the trade relationship between China and the Philippines and how China could exert significant influence over Philippines policy due to the great trade imbalance in China’s favor.

Commentary

Security, surveillance, protection from maritime crime and piracy in Southeast Asia | Melbourne Asia Review

In this piece, author John F. Bradford explores the international and national efforts taken by Southeast Asian states to secure Indo-Pacific sea lanes from piracy before considering new threats that threaten international trade, how they may grow in intensity, and what further steps regional states can take to mitigate these challenges.

Analysis

Taiwan’s indigenous solutions for national defence | East Asia Forum

In this piece, SCSNW Research Associate Caleb Mills and Joshua Bowes explore Taiwan’s efforts to support indigenous weapons development and production amidst a shift towards a more asymmetric defense strategy against a potential Chinese invasion. The authors then consider the impacts of Taiwan’s efforts to defend against China, especially what growing militarization and readiness might do to the nation’s vibrant democratic life.

Analysis

South China Sea: is a report on Vietnam’s reclamation a smokescreen from Beijing’s row with Manila? | South China Morning Post

A Chinese report stating that Vietnam had reclaimed land in the South China Sea has sparked concerns over another “battlefield” in the disputed waterway in what analysts say could be Beijing’s attempt to divert attention from its ongoing territorial row with the Philippines while limiting Hanoi’s actions.

Analysis

Nobody Likes a Bully: China’s Grip Over the South China Sea is Slipping | 9DASHLINE

Author Jonathan Dorsey argues that China’s aggressive tactics to support its territorial claims in the South China Sea are beginning to tire out rival claimants such as the Philippines and Vietnam. These nations, and other regional states such as Indonesia and Malaysia, are increasingly developing ways to improve their maritime capabilities and cooperation to make them less susceptible to China’s regional operations.

Analysis

UNCLOS and the Law of Occupation: On the Rights and Duties of Occupying States in
Maritime Areas | International Law Studies

In this article, author Louis McDonough Monroy explores the two concepts of occupation and maritime rights within international law. Monroy then goes on to determine if states can occupy maritime zones and, if so, what responsibilities occupying states can or must fulfil through any maritime occupation.

Commentary

Countering China Starts with the Philippines | Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs

Major David Geaney argues that the United States should deploy U.S. Navy and Coast Guard personnel and assets to non-violently confront Chinese vessels in the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone in the South China Sea. The United States must do so, Geaney argues, to demonstrate its commitment to its allies in the Indo-Pacific.

Analysis

Philippines’ Australia, France, Japan ties boost its middle-power status amid South China Sea rivalry | South China Morning Post

Sam Beltran, a journalist for the South China Morning Post, examines the recent growth of countries expanding ties with the Philippines. She suggests that Manila has been able to expand its ties with other states like France, Australia, India, and Japan by signaling that it is willing to work with anyone to bolster its strategic advantage and modernize its military.

Commentary

Move over, Quad; the new Squad has landed | Asia Times

In this article author Richard Javad Heydarian takes a look at the “Squad”, a new defense-oriented grouping of the United States, Japan, Australia, and the Philippines, and considers if the Squad will provide better regional strategic coherence and operability compared to the previous “Quad” of the U.S., Japan, Australia, and India.

Analysis

One Nation’s Fishing Fleet, Another Nation’s Pirates: Countering China’s Maritime Militia | U.S. Naval Institute

Author Jeffrey W. Jaeger considers Chinese use of the People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia (“PAFMM”), whether such forces constitute official naval auxiliaries, and what responsive policies to take if the PAFMM are considered to take orders from Chinese authorities or are independent actors.

Analysis

With Chinese warships anchoring in Cambodia, the US needs to respond | Defense News

The recent mooring of Chinese warships at Cambodia’s Ream Naval Base marked the unofficial inauguration of China’s first overseas naval post in the Indo-Pacific region and only its second overall. These latest deployments, which demand a robust American government response, signal how China plans to leverage its expanding global military footprint to thwart U.S. forces from intervening in a Taiwan crisis.

Commentary

Philippines in the South China Sea: Best Practice or Cautionary Tale? | China US Focus

SCSNW Advisory Board Member Lucio Blanco Pitlo III provides insight on the state of play in the South China Sea and what littoral states are doing to manage tensions and increase their offshore capabilities. He further considers the experience of the Philippines by examining Manila’s transparency campaign against Chinese encroachment and closer military ties with the United States is worth the diminished economic investment and tourism from China.

Analysis

Navigating China’s Influence: Insights from the State of Southeast Asia 2024 Survey | Fulcrum

Author Joanne Lin reviews the results of the 2024 State of Southeast Asia survey in this article. The survey results show that China has made significant progress in building its influence, which can be seen in the survey’s first ever finding of China as the preferred regional alignment choice over the United States, yet also show that China has work to build perceptions that China will do the right thing in regional affairs.

Analysis

A Cauldron of Instability? Stakeholders in South China Sea are Increasing Geopolitical Tensions | Australian Institute of International Affairs

In this article, Benjamin Blandin and Stephen Nagy explore the history and recent actions by various claimants in the South China Sea, such as China, the Philippines, Vietnam, and Malaysia as well as extraterritorial parties like the United States, South Korea, and Japan. The increase in geopolitical competition in the region, the authors argue, makes it even more important for the parties to minimize confrontation and avoid conflict.

Commentary

A partnership in hyperdrive | The Inquirer

In his recent diplomatic trip to Manila, US Secretary of State Anothony Blinken used the term, “hyperdrive” to describe his country’s relationship with the Phillipines. Columnist Dindo Manhit, writing for the Inquirer, explores the historic depths of this alliance within the context of tensions in the South China Sea. 

Analysis

Does Vietnam-Philippines Maritime Cooperation Offer a Template for the Region? | The Diplomat

Senior Contributing Researcher Benjamin Blandin looks at the history of Philippines-Vietnam relations in the South China Sea. By exploring shared frustrations with ASEAN in establishing a regional code of conduct, joint losses of territory to China, and various cooperative measures, Blandin considers the likelihood of a Hanoi-Manila partnership and its regional implications.

Commentary

Turning Tides: Climate Change Watershed Prompts Reevaluation of Nuclear Energy and Deep-Sea Mining | Modern Diplomacy

James Borton, Editor-in-Chief of the South China Sea NewsWire, dives deep into the study of deepsea mining and its practicalities for the ongoing clean energy transition. He then discusses how the opposition to the study and responsible deployment of this practice is steeped in inaccurate information and overblown fears.

Analysis

Entangled: Southeast Asia and the Geopolitics of Undersea Cables | University of Hawaii Center for Indo-Pacific Affairs

In this article, Elina Noor discusses the importance of undersea cables to Southeast Asian countries and how those states have neglected to increase cable security and governance. She then offers policy suggestions to improve regional governance and stakeholder coordination.

Analysis

The Quad and Submarine Cable Protection in the Indo-Pacific: Policy Recommendations | Institute for Security and Development Policy

Dr. Pooja Bhatt and Dr. Brendon J. Cannon explore the importance and securitization of undersea telecommunications cables in this policy brief. They first explain what undersea cables do and why adversarial actors may want to destroy them. The authors then examine potential actionable, rather than aspirational, policy options that the Quad can take to ensure submarine cable safety.

Commentary

ASEAN should be open but wary of the Quad | ISIS

In this article by SCSNW Advisory Board member Lucio Pitlo, the Quad offers several tangible benefits that ASEAN members can utilize, such as an external balance to China’s power and outside thinking on Southeast Asia’s security. However, while the Quad has benefits, it also brings risks, such as potentially breaking ASEAN up along great power fault lines.

Analysis

China’s ‘blue dragon’ strategy in the Indo-Pacific | The Strategist

China is advancing its ‘blue dragon’ strategy to compete with the US and undermine President Joe Biden’s Indo-Pacific policy. The plan targets three bodies of water in the Indo-Pacific region and major river systems in Southeast and South Asia. Despite Washington’s public denial of a containment policy against China, the US continues its global spy operations and has increased its defensive military posture in the Indo-Pacific.

Commentary

South China Sea: A Formula for the Philippines | The Lowy Institute

Shortly before handing over the chairmanship of the Association of the Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) to Laos, Indonesia corralled regional states for an unprecedented move. For the first time in recent memory, the regional body issued a stand-alone statement on the dangerous escalation of maritime spats between the Philippines, a founding ASEAN member, and China, a major economic partner. 

Commentary

Scientific collaboration could ease tensions in the South China Sea | East Asia Forum

South China Sea NewsWire’s Managing Editor David Hessen reviews a survey of South China Sea experts and academics that evaluates methods of regional conflict de-escalation. Hessen then considers if bilateral scientific diplomacy might be the key or reducing tension and improving regional environmental health.

Commentary

Vietnam Eyes Lifting of the EU ‘Yellow Card’ | Geopolitical Monitor

There are few indicators that the South China Sea’s seafood rivalry will slow down. Fishermen and the region face a looming fishery crisis due to illegal, unregulated, and unreported fishing, overfishing, marine pollution, warming seas and the securitization of fisheries. Illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing is a serious global problem that threatens ocean ecosystems and sustainable fisheries. That’s why the European Union (EU) officials continue to monitor Vietnamese fishermen after they received a “yellow card” in 2017.

Analysis

China’s illegal fishing fleet at Iroquois Reef in the West Philippine Sea | SeaLight

Satellite images of China’s illegal fishing fleet at Iroquois Reef, deep within the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone. Approximately 35 vessels are visible. The Armed Forces of the Philippines recently released evidence that destructive Chinese fishing practices were destroying this reef.

Commentary

What one more dash in the South China Sea tells us about China’s game | Channel News Asia

South China Sea NewsWire’s contributing researcher Collin Koh evaluates China’s decision to add another dash to its well-known “Nine Dash Line” and the implications for Chinese strategy and regional responses.

Commentary

The Case for Joint Patrols in the South China Sea | Geopolitical Monitor

Philippines-China relations are deteriorating with every passing month, and the October 22 collisions attest to that. The incidents can either be viewed as proof that the Philippines urgently needs diplomacy with China or, perhaps, to begin employing “diplomacy by other means.” Philippine Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro Jr. has lost all hope in the former option, saying that Beijing’s diplomatic outreach to Manila is “all for a show”; instead, he favors consulting with allies and partners to conduct multilateral joint patrols in the West Philippine Sea with the hope of altering Chinese behavior.

Analysis

Blue Security Issue 3 “Fair Winds and Following Seas: Maritime Security & Hedging in the South China Sea” | Blue Security

The Blue Security Program engages with and facilitates high quality research on issues of critical maritime security across the Indo-Pacific. Bringing together leading regional experts in politics, international law and strategic studies, Blue Security focuses on three key pillars of maritime security: order, law and power.

Analysis

Asia-Pacific nations worry as Biden-Xi talk set for APEC | The Washington TImes

South China Sea NewsWire’s own James Borton tackles the challenges that Asia-Pacific nations face as U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet in San Fransisco for APEC. Borton also considers the risks, and opportunities, that stand before the U.S. President going into this conversation.

Commentary

Speak its name: Blockade | SeaLight

A country that carries out an illegal, aggressive, unilateral blockade against a smaller country’s outpost–within that country’s internationally recognized exclusive economic zone–deserves to be treated as an outlaw and a pariah on the international stage. That starts with calling it by its name.

Commentary

The U.S. Can Still Avoid War with China over Taiwan | The New York Times

AEI Nonresident Senior Fellow Oriana Skylar Mastro’s article discusses the deterioration of relations between China and the United States over the future of Taiwan, the provocations each side has taken in the last few years, and the potential steps the United States can take to avoid the dispute turning into a devastating conflict.

Analysis

The South China Sea talks between ASEAN and China | IISS

The slow-moving South China Sea Code of Conduct process has worked to China’s benefit, particularly as Southeast Asian states have made little progress on resolving important underlying disputes over maritime boundaries. 

Commentary

Storm in a Shoal: Philippines and China spar again in the South China Sea | TCSS

Given the deteriorating state of BRP Sierra Madre, the current situation is unsustainable and a new path must soon be forged. President Marcos faces challenging times as he will need to navigate between both Chinese aggression and a vocal domestic cohort that is looking for him to assert Philippine territorial integrity.

Analysis

In Cambodia, a military base as a tool of influence for Beijing | The Conversation

In this featured article, Senior Contributing Researcher Benjamin Blandin analyzes China’s military base in Ream, Cambodia, how this base came to be, and its strategic implications for China’s South China Sea naval policies. In addition, Blandin explores Cambodia’s perspective in its close relationship with China yet its ability to build ties with other powers.

Analysis

Ease Tensions in the South China Sea by Adopting Cooperative Mechanisms | RANE & SCSNW

The recent altercation in the South China Sea between Chinese vessels and Philippine ships underscores the urgent need for science diplomacy and competition in fisheries management to bring clam to the tense waters, Rodger Baker of the Stratfor Center for Applied Geopolitics at RANE and James Borton of the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins argue. 

Commentary

US-Vietnam Relations: From Bitter Enemies to Strategic Partners | Geopolitical Monitor

Vietnam and the United States have finally arrived at a new higher level of bilateral relationship after a protracted and difficult journey through a complicated history of conflict and cooperation. In order to strengthen strategic interests for peace, stability, and prosperity for both sides, and promote a rules-based international order, President Joe Biden and General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong reached a historic accord to upgrade the bilateral relationship between the two countries in a two-day visit by President Biden to Hanoi on September 10-11. 

Analysis

Artificial islands: Beijing’s risky strategy in the South China Sea | The Conversation

In this featured article, Senior Contributing Researcher Benjamin Blandin analyzes China’s buildup of islands and military assets in the South China Sea. He explores the size and facilities of Chinese-held South China Sea islands, their usefulness to the PLA and Beijing’s overall policy objectives in the region, and their inherent risks to China’s power projection in the event of a full-on conflict.

Analysis

A RAND Research Primer “The Political Geography of the South China Sea Disputes” | Rand

The South China Sea disputes are multifaceted and have significant geopolitical implications. The complex nature of these disputes requires careful analysis and understanding of the political geography, historical context, and legal aspects involved.

Commentary

Where Is Vietnam on the Sino-U.S. Spectrum? | CSIS

Vietnam, like other Southeast Asian countries, does not want to align with either side in the growing competition between China and the United States but instead navigate between the two powers to pursue its own interests. The author argues that Vietnam remains closer to China and will move slowly in building stronger ties with the United States. 

    Our monthly news aggregator identifies the central articles on news and regional developments. Our team of editors offer concise summaries for easy access to articles, conferences, podcasts, videos and integrated media.